Tom Davidson

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Hi, I'm Tom.

I'm a Senior Research Analyst at Open Philanthropy.

I work on assessing whether transformative AI might be developed relatively soon, how suddenly it might be developed, and what impact it might have.

Get in touch at tom@openphilanthropy.org

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Research

The danger of runaway AI

Journal of Democracy, Oct 2023.

Continuous doesn't mean slow

Planned Obsolescence, April 2023.

How quickly AI could transform the world

80,000 hours interview, May 2023.

What a compute-centric framework says about AI takeoff speeds

Open Philanthropy, Jan 2023.

Social returns to productivity growth

Open Philanthropy, July 2022.

Could advanced AI drive explosive economic growth?

Open Philanthropy, June 2021.

Report on semi-informative priors

Open Philanthropy, March 2021.

What can the principal-agent literature tell us about AI risk?

AI alignment forum, Feb 2020.

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